Observed and bin model simulated evolution of drop size distributions in high-based cumulus congestus over the United Arab Emirates.

Secondary activation in general contributes substantially to the droplet population. Turning it off leads to a sharp decrease in droplet concentration and increase in mean size aloft, but does little to increase rain drop production. Warm rain generation (or lack thereof) in this case is therefore determined more by the sub-cloud aerosol and the cloud base droplet size distribution (DSD) than DSD evolution aloft from secondary droplet activation.

Decreasing the aerosol concentration by a factor of 10 greatly increases production of large drops via collision-coalescence. Thus, despite its high base (low temperatures) and substantial dilution, the simulated cloud is thermodynamically and dynamically capable of rapidly producing copious mm-sized drops from collision-coalescence under pristine aerosol conditions.