Ozone variability in the troposphere and the stratosphere from the first 6 years of IASI observations (2008-2013)

The temporal evolution of O₃ during the first 6 years of IASI (2008-2013) operation is investigated with multivariate regressions separately in four different layers (ground-300, 300-150, 150-25, 25-3 hPa), by adjusting to the daily time series averaged in 20° zonal bands, seasonal and linear trend terms along with important geophysical drivers of O₃ variation (e.g. solar flux, quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO)).

The regression model is shown to perform generally very well with a strong dominance of the annual harmonic terms and significant contributions from O₃ drivers, in particular in the equatorial region where the QBO and the solar flux contribution dominate. More particularly, despite the short period of the IASI data set available up to now, two noticeable statistically significant apparent trends are inferred from the daily IASI measurements: a positive trend in the upper stratosphere (e.g. 1.74 ± 0.77 DU year⁻¹ between 30 and 50° S), which is consistent with other studies suggesting a turnaround for stratospheric O₃ recovery, and a negative trend in the troposphere at the mid-latitudes and high northern latitudes (e.g. -0.26 ± 0.11 DU year⁻¹ between 30 and 50° N), especially during summer and probably linked to the impact of decreasing ozone precursor emissions.