Table · dataset · 2026
College ROI Dataset — lifetime return on investment of U.S. colleges and majors
Listed in figshare and Loughborough Research Repository — shown once because both records carry DOI 10.6084/m9.figshare.32988698.v4
Description
<p><strong>Mirror of the canonical dataset: <a href="doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21351603">https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21351603</a> (concept DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21351602).</strong></p><p>Clean, citable tables on the lifetime financial return of U.S. colleges and majors — 30-year net present value by school and state, ROI by major category, the out-of-state premium, and how exposed each major's career paths are to today's AI.
Maintained by LE TEEN (le-teen.com), a college-ROI data project. Every number traces to a public source.</p><p>The headline the data mints: picking a major swings mean lifetime ROI by ~$1.24M (Engineering +$1,132,553 vs Philosophy & Religious Studies −$111,915, cohort-weighted mean lifetime ROI, FREOPP 2021) — and in several popular major categories the majority of graduates never break even.</p><p><strong>Five tables (~29,700 FREOPP program-level ROI records aggregated; 3,392 colleges):</strong></p><ul><li>roi-by-major-category.csv (19 rows) — cohort-weighted lifetime ROI per major category: mean/median, p25/p75 spread, % of graduates who never break even, median breakeven age, completion-adjusted and dropout ROI</li><li>best-value-colleges-by-state.csv (607 rows) — top institutions per U.S. state by 30-year NPV for a resident student</li><li>out-of-state-penalty.csv (455 rows) — the 30-year NPV cost of attending each public flagship/university as a non-resident vs resident</li><li>ai-exposure-by-major.csv (18 rows) — LE TEEN-derived AI applicability score per major category (occupation-weighted; exposure, not displacement)</li><li>institutions.csv (3,392 rows) — IPEDS 2023-24 join table: UnitID, name, location, control, level, tuition (in/out-of-state), room & board, median earnings where published</li></ul><p><strong>Sources & method</strong> (full write-up: le-teen.com/methodology): FREOPP higher-ed ROI (2021 publication, ~30,000 bachelor's programs; earnings from College Scorecard cohorts 2015–17, 2022 dollars, 3% real discount rate; CC BY 4.0); NCES IPEDS 2023-24 Final (institution identity, tuition & fees, room & board; U.S. public domain); BEA Regional Price Parities 2023 (cost-of-living adjustment in NPV calculations; U.S. public domain); Microsoft Research "Working with AI" (2025), Anthropic Economic Index (2025-09-15), Census ACS 2022 PUMS + NCES/Census crosswalks (AI-exposure score per major).</p><p><strong>Modification notice (CC BY 4.0 §3):</strong> the per-major ROI aggregates, per-institution 30-year NPV figures, out-of-state deltas, and AI-exposure scores are LE TEEN-derived from the sources above (cohort weighting, CIP→SOC crosswalks, NPV joins) — they are not original FREOPP, Microsoft, Anthropic, or federal figures.
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The AI metric measures exposure, not displacement.</p><p><strong>Vintage disclosure:</strong> ROI earnings derive from FREOPP's 2021 publication (the newest with a public download); costs are IPEDS 2023-24 Final; deflators BEA 2023.</p><p>Canonical repository: github.com/thomasthinks/college-roi-data · Interactive tables: le-teen.com/rankings</p><p><strong>Full mirror set:</strong> Zenodo (hub, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21351602) · GitHub · Hugging Face · Kaggle · OSF · figshare · OpenML.
Also a free keyless JSON API at <a href="le-teen.com/api">le-teen.com/api</a> (640 endpoints) and an MCP server for LLM tooling (<code>college-roi-mcp</code> on npm).</p><p><strong>Changes in v2 (2026-08-13) — data correction.</strong> In <code>roi-by-major-category.csv</code>, the column <code>pct_never_breakeven</code> was carrying the share of graduates whose 30-year lifetime ROI is below zero, rather than the share FREOPP flags with its 999 “never breaks even” sentinel.
Five of nineteen rows are corrected: Agriculture and Natural Resources 15.8→15.5, Communications and Journalism 16.5→16.4, Mathematics and Statistics 3.2→2.9, Computer and Information Sciences 2.5→2.3, Economics 2.1→1.9. The remaining fourteen are identical under either definition. A new column <code>pct_negative_lifetime_roi</code> now carries the below-zero share, so both figures are available and no existing column was renamed or removed.
The two are not interchangeable: never-breaks-even is a strict subset of below-zero-ROI, and the graduates in the gap do break even, in their late fifties, past the 30-year window. No other table is affected.</p><p><strong>Changes in v4 (2026-09-24) — four columns added to <code>out-of-state-penalty.csv</code>, no value changed.</strong> The file still holds all 455 public universities, and its first eight columns are byte-identical to v3 on every row.
Ten of the 455 are graduate/professional or health-science campuses that do not admit first-time freshmen; LE TEEN leaves them out of the named rankings it publishes, and until now nothing in this file said so, which put University of Maryland, Baltimore at #7 in the out-of-state ranking with no label. Four columns are appended: <code>unitid</code> (the IPEDS join key to <code>institutions.csv</code>), <code>admits_freshmen</code>, <code>excluded_from_named_rankings_reason</code> (empty or <code>no-freshman-admission</code>) and <code>rank_freshman_admitting</code>, the 1..445 rank le-teen.com publishes. <code>rank</code> still runs 1..455 over every row of this file.
The exclusion is editorial, not a data correction: the ten rows stay, with their values unchanged. This matches Zenodo version 1.1.0. No other table is affected.</p>
Links
Where it is published
- DOI doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.32988698.v4 ↗
DOI / persistent id · from figshare com
Catalogue records · 1
- OAI-PMH record api.figshare.com/v2/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai%3Af… ↗
metadata API · from figshare com
Topics
- From keywords
- Astronomy & Astrophysics · Chemistry · Chemistry · Computer Science & AI · Computer Science & AI · Earth & Environmental Science · Earth & Environmental Science · Economics & Finance · Economics & Finance · Economics of education · Economics of education · Engineering · Engineering · Higher education · Higher education · Humanities · Humanities · Life Sciences · Life Sciences · Materials Science · Mathematics & Statistics · Medicine & Health · Medicine & Health · Ocean & Atmospheric Science · Psychology & Behavioral Science · Social Science · Social Science
- Inferred from text
- Tabular 65%
Provenance · 2 source records, 33 field assertions
| Source | Key | Last seen | Raw |
|---|---|---|---|
| figshare | oai:figshare.com:article/32988698 | 12 d ago | JSON v1 |
| Loughborough Research Repository | oai:figshare.com:article/32988698 | 12 d ago | JSON v1 |
| Field | Assertion | Extractor | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| access_level | source · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].anzsrc:field:380104 | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Economics of education'] |
| concepts[field].anzsrc:field:380104 | mapping · figshare com | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Economics of education'] |
| concepts[field].anzsrc:field:390303 | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Higher education'] |
| concepts[field].anzsrc:field:390303 | mapping · figshare com | vocabulary-mapper@1.0.0 | keywords['Higher education'] |
| concepts[field].local:field:astronomy | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:chemistry | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:chemistry | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:computer-science-ai | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:computer-science-ai | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmental | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmental | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:economics-finance | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:economics-finance | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:engineering | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:engineering | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:humanities | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:humanities | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:life-sciences | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:life-sciences | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:materials-science | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:mathematics-statistics | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:medicine-health | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:medicine-health | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:ocean-atmospheric | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:psychology-behavioral | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:social-science | mapping · repository lboro ac uk | connector:repository_lboro_ac_uk@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[field].local:field:social-science | mapping · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| concepts[modality].local:modality:tabular | enrichment · figshare com | keyword-concept-rules@1.0.0 | title+description (65%) |
| description | source · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/description |
| license | source · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/rights |
| publication_date | source · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | |
| title | source · figshare com | connector:figshare_com@1.0.0 | /metadata/dc/title |