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Table · dataset · 2026

College ROI Dataset — lifetime return on investment of U.S. colleges and majors

Listed in figshare and Loughborough Research Repository — shown once because both records carry DOI 10.6084/m9.figshare.32988698.v4

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<p><strong>Mirror of the canonical dataset: <a href="doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21351603">https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21351603</a> (concept DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21351602).</strong></p><p>Clean, citable tables on the lifetime financial return of U.S. colleges and majors — 30-year net present value by school and state, ROI by major category, the out-of-state premium, and how exposed each major's career paths are to today's AI.

Maintained by LE TEEN (le-teen.com), a college-ROI data project. Every number traces to a public source.</p><p>The headline the data mints: picking a major swings mean lifetime ROI by ~$1.24M (Engineering +$1,132,553 vs Philosophy & Religious Studies −$111,915, cohort-weighted mean lifetime ROI, FREOPP 2021) — and in several popular major categories the majority of graduates never break even.</p><p><strong>Five tables (~29,700 FREOPP program-level ROI records aggregated; 3,392 colleges):</strong></p><ul><li>roi-by-major-category.csv (19 rows) — cohort-weighted lifetime ROI per major category: mean/median, p25/p75 spread, % of graduates who never break even, median breakeven age, completion-adjusted and dropout ROI</li><li>best-value-colleges-by-state.csv (607 rows) — top institutions per U.S. state by 30-year NPV for a resident student</li><li>out-of-state-penalty.csv (455 rows) — the 30-year NPV cost of attending each public flagship/university as a non-resident vs resident</li><li>ai-exposure-by-major.csv (18 rows) — LE TEEN-derived AI applicability score per major category (occupation-weighted; exposure, not displacement)</li><li>institutions.csv (3,392 rows) — IPEDS 2023-24 join table: UnitID, name, location, control, level, tuition (in/out-of-state), room & board, median earnings where published</li></ul><p><strong>Sources & method</strong> (full write-up: le-teen.com/methodology): FREOPP higher-ed ROI (2021 publication, ~30,000 bachelor's programs; earnings from College Scorecard cohorts 2015–17, 2022 dollars, 3% real discount rate; CC BY 4.0); NCES IPEDS 2023-24 Final (institution identity, tuition & fees, room & board; U.S. public domain); BEA Regional Price Parities 2023 (cost-of-living adjustment in NPV calculations; U.S. public domain); Microsoft Research "Working with AI" (2025), Anthropic Economic Index (2025-09-15), Census ACS 2022 PUMS + NCES/Census crosswalks (AI-exposure score per major).</p><p><strong>Modification notice (CC BY 4.0 §3):</strong> the per-major ROI aggregates, per-institution 30-year NPV figures, out-of-state deltas, and AI-exposure scores are LE TEEN-derived from the sources above (cohort weighting, CIP→SOC crosswalks, NPV joins) — they are not original FREOPP, Microsoft, Anthropic, or federal figures.

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The AI metric measures exposure, not displacement.</p><p><strong>Vintage disclosure:</strong> ROI earnings derive from FREOPP's 2021 publication (the newest with a public download); costs are IPEDS 2023-24 Final; deflators BEA 2023.</p><p>Canonical repository: github.com/thomasthinks/college-roi-data · Interactive tables: le-teen.com/rankings</p><p><strong>Full mirror set:</strong> Zenodo (hub, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21351602) · GitHub · Hugging Face · Kaggle · OSF · figshare · OpenML.

Also a free keyless JSON API at <a href="le-teen.com/api">le-teen.com/api</a> (640 endpoints) and an MCP server for LLM tooling (<code>college-roi-mcp</code> on npm).</p><p><strong>Changes in v2 (2026-08-13) — data correction.</strong> In <code>roi-by-major-category.csv</code>, the column <code>pct_never_breakeven</code> was carrying the share of graduates whose 30-year lifetime ROI is below zero, rather than the share FREOPP flags with its 999 “never breaks even” sentinel.

Five of nineteen rows are corrected: Agriculture and Natural Resources 15.8→15.5, Communications and Journalism 16.5→16.4, Mathematics and Statistics 3.2→2.9, Computer and Information Sciences 2.5→2.3, Economics 2.1→1.9. The remaining fourteen are identical under either definition. A new column <code>pct_negative_lifetime_roi</code> now carries the below-zero share, so both figures are available and no existing column was renamed or removed.

The two are not interchangeable: never-breaks-even is a strict subset of below-zero-ROI, and the graduates in the gap do break even, in their late fifties, past the 30-year window. No other table is affected.</p><p><strong>Changes in v4 (2026-09-24) — four columns added to <code>out-of-state-penalty.csv</code>, no value changed.</strong> The file still holds all 455 public universities, and its first eight columns are byte-identical to v3 on every row.

Ten of the 455 are graduate/professional or health-science campuses that do not admit first-time freshmen; LE TEEN leaves them out of the named rankings it publishes, and until now nothing in this file said so, which put University of Maryland, Baltimore at #7 in the out-of-state ranking with no label. Four columns are appended: <code>unitid</code> (the IPEDS join key to <code>institutions.csv</code>), <code>admits_freshmen</code>, <code>excluded_from_named_rankings_reason</code> (empty or <code>no-freshman-admission</code>) and <code>rank_freshman_admitting</code>, the 1..445 rank le-teen.com publishes. <code>rank</code> still runs 1..455 over every row of this file.

The exclusion is editorial, not a data correction: the ten rows stay, with their values unchanged. This matches Zenodo version 1.1.0. No other table is affected.</p>

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Provenance · 2 source records, 33 field assertions
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figshareoai:figshare.com:article/3298869812 d agoJSON v1
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