Contrasting central equatorial Pacific oxygen isotopic signatures of the 2014/2015 and 2015/2016 El Niño events

However, few reef-based observations of physical conditions during El Nino events exist, limiting our ability to interpret coral delta 18O. Here we present physical and geochemical measurements from Palmyra Atoll (5.9 degrees N, 162.1 degrees W) from 2014-2017, along with a data assimilation product using the isotope-enabled Regional Ocean Modeling System (isoROMS).

Coral delta 18O signals are comparably strong in 2014-2015 and 2015-2016; notably, over 50% of the signal is driven by seawater delta 18O, not temperature. If a constant seawater delta 18O:salinity relationship were present, this would imply a comparable salinity anomaly during both events. However, salinity changes are much larger during 2014-2015, indicating a highly nonstationary relationship. isoROMS then shows that advection strongly influences delta 18O during both the 2014-2015 and 2015-2016 El Nino, driving differences in the salinity/seawater delta 18O relationship.