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Data · dataset · 2026

Forest Resilience Under Residential Pressure: A Nine-Year Satellite Study of the Southern Gulf Islands, British Columbia.

Listed in Borealis

Coastal island forest ecosystems in British Columbia face increasing pressure from climate-driven stressors, yet the impact of residential fragmentation on their functional resilience remains poorly understood.

Description

This study compared land-use history and ecosystem health on Mudge Island and Link Island in the Southern Gulf Islands of British Columbia using a nine-year time series of Sentinel-2 multispectral satellite imagery (2017–2025).

A supervised Random Forest classification was applied to quantify land cover composition and change, achieving an overall accuracy of 77.7% (Kappa = 0.68). The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) was calculated annually for both islands and compared using a Welch's two-sample t-test. Results showed no statistically significant difference in mean vegetation greenness between the two islands (t(15.9) = −0.35, p = 0.733), with a mean NDVI of 0.320 for Mudge Island and 0.303 for Link Island across the study period.

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Forest cover on Mudge Island declined by 11.2 ha between 2018 and 2025, while Non-Forest Vegetation expanded by 25.7 ha. Link Island remained stable across all land cover classes. Neither island showed a measurable decline in vegetation productivity during the 2021 Pacific Northwest Heat Dome, indicating high ecological resistance to short-term drought stress.

These findings suggest that residential fragmentation on Mudge Island has not yet reached a threshold that compromises core ecosystem function. Multi-temporal satellite monitoring provides a practical framework for tracking island forest stability over time, with results offering baseline data for land managers working to balance human land use with the preservation of resilient Coastal Douglas-fir forests.

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Provenance · 1 source records, 11 field assertions
SourceKeyLast seenRaw
Borealisdoi:10.5683/SP3/EGOKIT11 d agoJSON v1
FieldAssertionExtractorEvidence
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