Constarium
← Search

Data · dataset · 2026

Microclimate and human ecological factors in the divergent ecology of Aedes aegypti along the Arizona, U.S./Sonora, MX border

Listed in National Center for Atmospheric Research

An estimate of the interval between successive infections is essential for surveillance, control, and modeling of infectious diseases.

Description

This paper proposes a method for determining the serial interval when the location and time of onset of illness are known. The theoretical underpinning of this method is the intrinsically spatial nature of disease transmission.

Successive infections tend to be closer than unrelated cases of disease and, therefore, exhibit spatial clustering. An incremental Knox type analysis of cases is introduced. Cases occurring at a range of time intervals are examined to determine the serial interval.

Read the rest (2 more)

The significance of clustering is determined using a permutation approach under the null hypothesis of space-time independence. The power of this method is evaluated using an individual level, spatially explicit epidemic simulation. The time increment Knox test is robust to multiple introductions and incomplete sampling.

Finally, the increment Knox statistic is used to analyze an outbreak of dengue fever in the city of Florida, Puerto Rico during 1991. Results indicate that the likely interval between successive cases during this outbreak is at least 18–19 days.

Links

Get the data

Where it is published

Catalogue records · 1

Topics

Inferred from text
Disease 75% · Simulation 75%
Provenance · 1 source records, 9 field assertions
SourceKeyLast seenRaw
National Center for Atmospheric Researchefabfdcb-54ee-4334-873b-2c18937344ae10 d agoJSON v1
FieldAssertionExtractorEvidence
concepts[disease].local:disease:diseaseenrichment · data ucar edukeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (75%)
concepts[field].local:field:earth-environmentalmapping · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
concepts[field].local:field:ocean-atmosphericmapping · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
concepts[method].local:method:simulationenrichment · data ucar edukeyword-concept-rules@1.0.0title+description (75%)
created_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
descriptionsource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0/notes
publication_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0
titlesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0/title
updated_datesource · data ucar educonnector:data_ucar_edu@1.0.0